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Showing posts with label luck. Show all posts
Showing posts with label luck. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Is Tim Tebow Wearing Cleats or Horse Shoes?

Wow. Just wow. The Hat Trick ran a piece the week before last expressing the awe that I, and most of the sporting world, is feeling from Tim Tebow’s (852 yds., 8 TD, 1 INT, 46% comp.) logic-defying good fortune. The stunning circumstances under which the Broncos beat the New York Jets is well known. Most assumed that the good fortune had to stop eventually. Then Tebow pulls another rabbit out of the hat with a come from behind overtime win over the San Diego Chargers.

Tebow, pictured with Playboy Playmate and rumored to-be girlfriend Erin Drewes, is lucky on a number of fronts. 1

WHY WE’RE SCRATCHING OUR HEADS

Tebow (9/18, 143 yds., 1 TD vs Chargers), for the fourth consecutive week, completed 10 or fewer passes in a game. For the seventh consecutive week, Tebow could not complete more than half of his passes in a game (Tebow has passed in seven games this season). For the fourth time in six weeks, the Broncos won after trailing in the fourth quarter (trailing by 10 at some point in three of those games).

All of these factors fly in the face of the reality that the Broncos won the aforementioned games and are just one game back of the Oakland Raiders for first place in the AFC West. The NFL is not a league conducive to late comebacks. The worst team in the league is made up of good players. Any ill-prepared team or any team lacking effort can be beaten by an opponent with a vastly inferior record.

Unlike college football, the gap in talent between the best and worst teams is fairly thin. The expression “any given Sunday” isn’t just a cute phrase; it’s reality. You’ve never heard the expression “any given Saturday” have you? Monumental upsets in college football are extremely rare because the bigger schools can impose their wills on smaller schools. In the NFL, if you fail to plan, you have planned to fail, no matter how much talent you have.

This makes rapid-fire scoring difficult in the NFL. It makes last minute game winning drives rare. When players like John Elway and Dan Marino make a habit of it, they get into the Pro Football Hall of Fame. Tebow is not in the class of either of those quarterbacks and probably never will be. All of this feeds into the Tebow frenzy sweeping the NFL fan base at the moment.

The first time I saw this, I chuckled. I'm chuckling less with each passing week. Maybe Tebow does have angels in the backfield? 2

WHY THIS IS HAPPENING

The first misconception that the casual NFL fan may buy into is that Tim Tebow is primarily responsible for the Broncos’ success in 2011. As often occurs, the quarterback gets too much credit for winning and too much blame for losing. Tebow has executed successfully in critical situations. He is not the main reason that the Broncos are in the hunt.

First, the Broncos defense is stifling. They are near the middle of the pack in total defense over the course of the season, but in their run of five wins in the past six games, the Broncos defense is only surrendering 12 points per game. When I read that number, 12 points per game against, the 1985 Chicago Bears and 2000 Baltimore Ravens defenses immediately come to mind. What happened to those teams? They won the Super Bowl. In the case of the Ravens, the offense wasn’t very good. Denver’s defense has given them a chance to win every week during this run.

Second, the Broncos have the #1 rushing attack in the NFL. Tebow is partly responsible for this, with 455 rushing yards on the year and a 5.8 yards per carry average. Willis McGahee parted ways with the Baltimore Ravens this past season, as the Ravens gave the lions’ share of the carries to Ray Rice during the prior two seasons. He is playing like a man with something to prove and it is translating into success on the field, as he is on pace to eclipse 1,000 rushing yards and is averaging close to 5 yards per carry.

Third, and this is within Tebow’s control, when Tebow DOES throw the football, he puts it in a place where one of two things will happen: the pass will fall incomplete (which happens most of the time) or it will be caught for a big gain. What Tebow does not do is turn the ball over (only one interception in 143 attempts).

McGahee is a man on a mission. 4
SHOW ME THE DATA

The result? Tebow’s passer efficiency rating, driven heavily by yards per attempt and TD/INT ratio, is 80.5. That isn’t Pro Bowl material, but it isn’t bad, either. He has thrown very few passes per game, relative to other QBs, but his rating is less than two points behind those of Andy Dalton, Cam Newton, Mark Sanchez, and Philip Rivers, and ahead of Mike Vick and Joe Flacco. More telling, Tebow’s rating in four of his five wins as a starter were 91.7, 98.1, 102.6, and 95.4 against the Dolphins, Raiders, Chiefs, and Chargers, respectively.

Those 90-something numbers are not only Pro Bowl numbers, but Hall of Fame level QB ratings. In other words, when Tebow releases the ball, the most common result is that nothing is ventured nor gained, but when the ball is caught, defenses will pay. Tebow’s accuracy issues, whether by accident or by design, appear to be confusing defenses in key moments.

Tebow is not only missing his own receivers, but he often puts the ball nowhere near anybody. Since the receivers know the routes and the plays, they are going to have a better idea of where the ball might be and can adjust to get to the ball. This is only my crazy theory. Regardless, as long as Tebow plays “keep away” from defenders, the Broncos’ highly unorthodox recipe for beating mediocre to above average teams has a chance to work.

Perhaps it is more than just the stars lining up for Tim Tebow? 3

Don't forget to vote in the fan polls!

To advertise with The Daily Hat Trick, or to submit a guest column, please contact the editor at eric@thedailyhattrick.info.

The Daily Hat Trick is sponsored by Sports N Stuff. For great deals on jerseys, shirts, cologne, and other guy stuff, visit http://www.sportsnstuff.biz/.

Statistical source: www.espn.com
1) Image from http://www.pollsb.com/
2) Image from http://broncosarebest.blogspot.com/
3) Image from http://www.lightonvedicastrology.com/
4) Image from http://jcedmonds.blogspot.com/

Friday, November 18, 2011

For He Is Tebow, For He Is Good

Broncos 17
Jets 13
FINAL

Tim Tebow, Broncos: 9 completions/20 pass attempts, 104 passing yards

Broncos 17
Jets 13
FINAL

Mark Sanchez, Jets: 24 completions/40 pass attempts, 252 yards

Broncos 17
Jets 13
FINAL

Broncos: 3 offensive points scored though the first 56 minutes of regulation.

Broncos 17
Jets 13
FINAL

Willis McGehee, Broncos leading rushing running back: 12 carries for 18 yards (1.5 yards per carry)

Broncos 17
Jets 13
FINAL

Tebow: 69 passing yards, 11 rushing yards before the final drive, starting at his own 5 yard line

Broncos 17
Jets 13
FINAL

Sanchez is still trying to figure out what hit him. 3

DEFYING LOGIC

In case you still don’t believe it, the Denver Broncos defeated the New York Jets last night, improving their record and dropping the Jets’ record each to 5-5. The Broncos are now a half game out of first place in the AFC West. Their starting quarterback has failed to complete half of his passes in any of the five games he has started this season. Regardless, Timothy Richard Tebow is 4-1 in the games he has started this season.

Erin Drewes, rumored to be dating Tim Tebow. I see why he has so much confidence. 5
In each of Tebow’s three wins, prior to last night, everything appeared to go wrong. In each game, suddenly, the skies parted and the Tebow-led Broncos found a way to make plays to put enough points on the scoreboard to beat their opponent. Last night was no exception. Tebow was inaccurate. Tebow was contained by the Jets defense until the final drive. Neither Tebow nor the Broncos running backs could muster a simple first down on nine consecutive drives, the first ending in a lost fumble and the ensuing eight ending in a punt on 4th down.

Lucy Pinder, also rumored to be Tebow's girlfriend (at one time or another if not now). She isn't surprised. 4

SOMETHING HAD TO GO RIGHT

So how did the Broncos win? While the offense is 90% inept 90% of the time, the Broncos defense has played well all year. Last night was no exception. They were able to frustrate Jets QB Mark Sanchez, rattle his confidence, and force him into a number of bad throws, including a 26 yard interception return for a touchdown by Andre’ Goodman of the Broncos.

Then there was the final drive. Some players…some people…respond well to pressure. They are most focused when they have one opportunity to succeed and the margin for error is nearly non-existent. This is what happened with Tim Tebow.

Starting at the Broncos 5 yard line, Tebow was 3/5 passing for 35 yards and ran six times for 57 yards, including the game-winning 20 yard touchdown run. The Jets, who kept Tebow contained in the pocket all night (Tebow only ran twice before the final drive) could not stop Tebow from getting first downs and moving the chains, even in short yardage situations in which a Tebow run appeared likely. Tebow could not get going all night, until he could not afford to be stopped.

Tebow, defying all reason, runs 20 yards for the game winning touchdown. 2

DEVINE INTERVENTION?

Tim Tebow’s devout Christian beliefs are well known throughout the sporting world. Tebow unpretentiously talks the talk and, from all accounts, walks the walk. In that regard, he is holier than thou, holier than I, and holier than most. I say that with the utmost respect and sincerity.

While I could probably benefit by following Tebow’s spiritual example, I nonetheless believe in and fear God. Still, throughout my life, I have refused to believe that the Big Guy cares in the least about what happens in sporting events, a means of recreation and entertainment. After watching Tebow’s performances this season, and considering his profile, I am coming progressively closer to second guessing myself.

"Shout out to my main man, J.C.!" 1

Don't forget to vote in the fan polls!

To advertise with The Daily Hat Trick, or to submit a guest column, please contact the editor at eric@thedailyhattrick.info.

The Daily Hat Trick is sponsored by Sports N Stuff. For great deals on jerseys, shirts, cologne, and other guy stuff, visit http://www.sportsnstuff.biz/.

1) Image from http://blogs.bettor.com/
2) Image from http://sports.yahoo.com/
3) Image from http://www.northjersey.com/
4) Image from http://www.bodybuilding.com/
5) Image from http://www.bumpshack.com/

Wednesday, October 5, 2011

Les Miles as Captain Jack Sparrow - reset

Yesterday, the Hat Trick discussed the path on which LSU Tigers and Alabama Crimson Tide are headed - a collision course on November 5 that may determine the path for the eventual national champion in college football. In that piece, a past, humorous, article on LSU coach Les Miles was referenced. Today, the Hat Trick will reset that article with some post publication commentary in BLUE. Enjoy!  

Les Miles as Captain Jack Sparrow
In his sixth season as the Head Football Coach at Louisiana State University, Les Miles has had a collection of legendary Houdini-like escapes that take away the breath of the most optimistic fan and late game blunders that have made over 90,000 people in a stadium do a simultaneous “face-palm”. In nearly 30 years of watching major sporting events, I have learned that there is very little luck in major team sports and very little that is not planned. 2  
 
Franco Harris' Immaculate Reception
No, the Immaculate Reception, the Holy Roller, the Cal-Stanford Band play, the Miracle at the Meadowlands, the River City Relay, and the Tuck Rule Play did not work the way they were drawn up. And while the Bluegrass Miracle and the Music City Miracle did work as they were drawn up, nobody expected them to actually WORK. However, these were single moments for single teams and single coaches, isolated spectacles in sports history that have kept the office water cooler relevant as a meeting point for sports conversation for years. 4,5

I have DAMN STRONG counting ability! Where's the flag?

Les Miles and the LSU Tigers, just five seasons and five regular season games in, have emptied enough water coolers to fill a swimming pool, so to speak. One national columnist has dubbed such occasions as “Mileacles”. However, unlike the rare moments in football that I have already mentioned, Les Miles has a resume of improbable finishes, most of them ending in victory.

I cannot help but wonder if Coach Miles, instead, intricately planned to launch chaos and confusion on the enemy in the waning moments of games. Maybe what the rest of the sporting world thinks of as lunacy is actually a series of Xs, Os and squiggly lines that would cause even the likes of John Madden to shake their heads in confusion. Maybe Miles is smiling under that big hat of his at the end of each 4th quarter adventure because he is thinking, “I KNEW it would work!”

Life often imitates art. If, in the unlikely event, Coach Miles truly has been in control every time LSU earns a victory that boggles the mind and reason, then his muse can be none other that Captain Jack Sparrow of Disney’s Pirates of the Caribbean movies, portrayed by Johnny Depp. Sparrow, like Miles, evokes belly laughter with some of the decisions he makes to achieve his ends. British officers in pursuit have often laughed and called Sparrow the “worst pirate, ever” only to watch Sparrow sail off, moments later, having escaped the capture and stolen the prized vessel of the British Navy. Similarly, Coach Miles has been called a variety of unflattering names, yet always seems to have that cake-eating grin after having stolen the victory of a Southeastern Conference rival.

Let’s examine a few legends of “Captain” Leslie Miles.

Date: October 6, 2007
Site: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
Opponent: Florida Gators

6
What Captain Jack did: Betrayal is usually an act of a desperate and defeated combatant. In Pirates of the Caribbean 2, Captain Jack appears to betray his ally, Will Turner, as his substitute to settle Jack’s debt to Davy Jones. Sparrow appears to be advancing interests that run counter to Will’s as he engages in a sword fight with Will in the later scenes. However, it turns out that Jack needed to get Will on board Jones’ ship because as Will is motivated to free his father, Will would be better able to take the key to the Dead Man’s Chest from an unsuspecting Jones. Ultimately, Jack’s goal would be to take Jones’ place as captain of Jones’ ship, making Jack immortal AND freeing Will’s father. 

7
What Captain Les did: Going for it on fourth down is major risk, is indicative of failing to convert on the first three downs and it may be an indicator of desperation to keep a drive or a game alive. LSU is stopped short of converting on third down not once, not twice, but FIVE times by the Florida Gators. Coach Miles goes for it on fourth down, all five times, and converts.

This wore down the Florida defense and milked the clock later in the game. Given the performances of the offensive line and Jacob Hester that evening, the fact that LSU was in a fourth down conversion situation probably put Florida at a greater disadvantage than if LSU had converted in three downs or less on those drives. By the end of the game, all four LSU touchdowns, leading to a 28-24 LSU victory, resulted on drives that included a fourth down conversion.

Update: Oh! That tricky Mad Hatter! Just one week after this article was written, on October, 9, 2010, Miles took his magic act on the road to Gainesville, Florida, to the disgust of then Florida coach Urban Meyer. LSU trailed by three points and called its final timeout to execute what appeared to be a 53 yard Josh Jasper field goal attempt.

The holder, punter Derek Helton, flipped the ball laterally, on its long end, over his shoulder after the snap. The ball bounced on the ground and directly into the hands of Jasper, who ran for the first down. LSU would complete the drive with a game winning touchdown and exit Gainesville with a win.

The ball always seems to bounce Miles' way, literally. 8

Date: October 20, 2007
Site: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
Opponent: Auburn Tigers

What Captain Jack did: Jack Sparrow was hunted by the Kraken, because of his debt owed to Davy Jones for his ship and position as Captain. As the Kraken was bearing down on his ship and his crew, Sparrow secures a long boat and begins to escape, so his crew thinks. What much of his crew does not consider or is unaware of is that the Kraken is after Jack, not the ship or the crew. Jack comes back to the ship and fights off the Kraken to aid his crew, ultimately resulting in Jack sacrificing himself and “dying”. Jack’s sacrifice allows him to keep his ship in the land of the dead, inspires his crew to rescue him from the land of the dead, and Jack eventually returns to the land of the living with his ship and can continue his pursuit of immortality. There was no margin for error in Jack’s plan as any one event out of place would have jettisoned the future events that allowed Jack to survive and fight another day.

What Captain Les did: After losing to Kentucky in triple overtime the previous week, LSU was in a must-win (to keep National Championship hopes alive), back-and-forth struggle with the Auburn Tigers. Auburn gained the upper hand in LSU’s home stadium in the 4th quarter. LSU trailed Auburn by one point in the final minute of the game, in field goal range with one timeout remaining. To the shock, befuddlement, horror, and amazement of all 90,000 plus in attendance, Les Miles elected to have his quarterback, Matt Flynn, run the clock down to 8 seconds before beginning what could only be the final attempt at the end zone. Flynn threw a pass to the back of the end zone, which was caught by wide receiver Demetrius Byrd to take the lead with the clock showing one second remaining, allowing no margin for error in LSU’s continued quest for a National Championship. LSU wins 30-24.

Update: The entire state of Alabama may have wanted posters with Miles' face on it. On November 6, 2010, #5 Alabama, still controlling its destiny in the SEC race, travelled to Baton Rouge to face #12 LSU. Trailing by one point, midway through the 4th quarter, Miles faced a 4th down and 1 at the Alabama 30 yard line. Rather than attempt a 47 yard field goal, Miles went for it.

Was it a QB sneak? No! A run up the gut? No! Miles called a double reverse, resulting in a 23 yard run by tight end DeAngelo Peterson. LSU went on to score a touchdown with a two point conversion. The gamble proved to be the difference in the game as Bama would score another touchdown and LSU would end up winning by three points, 24-21.   

Tight end DeAngelo Peterson on a double reverse. When is the last time you saw a double reverse land in the TE's bread basket? Yeah, I didn't think so. 9


Date: October 2, 2010
Site: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
Opponent: Tennessee Volunteers

What Captain Jack Did: In the first Pirates of the Caribbean Movie: The Curse of the Black Pearl, Captain Jack Sparrow makes a series of inexplicable decisions that appear to defy rationality and logic. One would assume that Jack is attempting to meet his own ends, thwart the advances of his enemy, or assist his ally while protecting his own interests.

Jack befriends Will Turner, who is trying to rescue the woman he loves, Elizabeth Swann, only to appear to use Will as bait for the sole purpose of seeking revenge against his enemy, Captain Barbosa. Initially, Will believes he was betrayed, but Jack carefully planned the chain of events to set up a sword fight with Barbosa and gives Will an opportunity to rescue Elizabeth by helping Jack vanquish Barbosa.

Jack saved a poetically symbolic pistol with a single shot to fire at and strike Barbosa. Barbosa, believing that he is immortal, laughs at Jack, believing that he has wasted the shot he saved for 10 years, only to discover that, due to Jack’s manipulation of turned to maneuvering with Will, Barbosa has lost his immortality and, in fact has been mortally wounded.

What Captain Les Did: Les Miles makes a series of inexplicable decisions in the final three plays of the game. Trailing by 4 points in the final minute with no timeouts left and needing a touchdown to win, Les Miles elects to run the football on second down.

Quarterback Jordan Jefferson is stopped short of the goal line with 32 seconds remaining. With the final seconds trickling away, LSU fails to call a play to Jefferson until there are fewer than 20 seconds remaining, with the clock running. The play called included a mass substitution of several wide receivers into the game.

Believing that Coach Miles had lost his mind, creating utter chaos, and that the scheme will never work, Tennessee coach Derek Dooley substitutes the appropriate personnel to cover the LSU receivers into the game. Even more perplexed that Dooley would even consider substituting, some of the Tennessee defenders never left the field, likely never anticipating a substitution under the circumstances.

LSU was able to line up in a legal formation with seven seconds remaining. Believing that Coach Miles was temporarily insane for attempting to substitute and that Jefferson was oblivious to the expiring clock, which was down to 5 seconds, center Robert “T-Bob” Hebert shifted the ball, regardless of the snap count or QB cadence. The ball sailed over Jefferson’s head and Jefferson was tackled as soon as he recovered the ball.

Believing that the game was over Tennessee players began storming the field in jubilation, high-fiving, hugging, and doing back flips, and Dooley prepared for what he believed was a well deserved Gatorade bath. But hold EVERYTHING! Miles remained fixated on the officials, knowing his hours of meticulous planning for this situation was about to bear fruit.

In the mass confusion, Tennessee failed to substitute enough players out and had 13 men on the field. This resulted in a penalty, placing the ball inside the Tennessee 1 yard line and allowing LSU a single, untimed play. Running back Stevan Ridley plowed over the goal line on the following play, securing a 16-14 victory and preserving an unbeaten season for the LSU Tigers, just like Captain Les Miles drew it up!

Well…it could happen!!!!


NOOO! Miles-ed again!


Don't forget to vote in the fan polls!

To advertise with The Daily Hat Trick, or to submit a guest column, please contact the editor at eric@thedailyhattrick.info.

The Daily Hat Trick is sponsored by Sports N Stuff. For great deals on jerseys, shirts, cologne, and other guy stuff, visit http://www.sportsnstuff.biz/.

2) Image from http://pittsburgh-blitz.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/03/franco_harris03.jpg
4) Images from espn.com
5, 8, 9) Image from lsusports.net
6) Image from http://www.wallpapergate.com/
7) Image from http://t1.gstatic.com/imagesq=tbn:ANd9GcRXqucTCOmH23kv1iAXGsrzKzNdtiqyMVujYFGTfbK7MMSvmiI&t=1&usg=__Sp_mjfpNBP2Y_FZl75CQUYbiN1s

Friday, October 8, 2010

Les Miles is College Football’s Version of Captain Jack Sparrow


Les Miles as Captain Jack Sparrow
In his sixth season as the Head Football Coach at Louisiana State University, Les Miles has had a collection of legendary Houdini-like escapes that take away the breath of the most optimistic fan and late game blunders that have made over 90,000 people in a stadium do a simultaneous “face-palm”. In nearly 30 years of watching major sporting events, I have learned that there is very little luck in major team sports and very little that is not planned. 1, 2

 
Dave Casper's TD from the Holy Roller
 
Franco Harris' Immaculate Reception

 
No, the Immaculate Reception, the Holy Roller, the Cal-Stanford Band play, the Miracle at the Meadowlands, the River City Relay, and the Tuck Rule Play did not work the way they were drawn up. And while the Bluegrass Miracle and the Music City Miracle did work as they were drawn up, nobody expected them to actually WORK. However, these were single moments for single teams and single coaches, isolated spectacles in sports history that have kept the office water cooler relevant as a meeting point for sports conversation for years. 3,4,5

Not so fast my friend!

I have DAMN STRONG counting ability! Where's the flag?
 

Les Miles and the LSU Tigers, just five seasons and five regular season games in, have emptied enough water coolers to fill a swimming pool, so to speak. One national columnist has dubbed such occasions as “Mileacles”. However, unlike the rare moments in football that I have already mentioned, Les Miles has a resume of improbable finishes, most of them ending in victory.

I cannot help but wonder if Coach Miles, instead, intricately planned to launch chaos and confusion on the enemy in the waning moments of games. Maybe what the rest of the sporting world thinks of as lunacy is actually a series of Xs, Os and squiggly lines that would cause even the likes of John Madden to shake their heads in confusion. Maybe Miles is smiling under that big hat of his at the end of each 4th quarter adventure because he is thinking, “I KNEW it would work!”

Life often imitates art. If, in the unlikely event, Coach Miles truly has been in control every time LSU earns a victory that boggles the mind and reason, then his muse can be none other that Captain Jack Sparrow of Disney’s Pirates of the Caribbean movies, portrayed by Johnny Depp. Sparrow, like Miles, evokes belly laughter with some of the decisions he makes to achieve his ends. British officers in pursuit have often laughed and called Sparrow the “worst pirate, ever” only to watch Sparrow sail off, moments later, having escaped the capture and stolen the prized vessel of the British Navy. Similarly, Coach Miles has been called a variety of unflattering names, yet always seems to have that cake-eating grin after having stolen the victory of a Southeastern Conference rival.

Let’s examine a few legends of “Captain” Leslie Miles.

Date: October 6, 2007
Site: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
Opponent: Florida Gators

6
What Captain Jack did: Betrayal is usually an act of a desperate and defeated combatant. In Pirates of the Caribbean 2, Captain Jack appears to betray his ally, Will Turner, as his substitute to settle Jack’s debt to Davy Jones. Sparrow appears to be advancing interests that run counter to Will’s as he engages in a sword fight with Will in the later scenes. However, it turns out that Jack needed to get Will on board Jones’ ship because as Will is motivated to free his father, Will would be better able to take the key to the Dead Man’s Chest from an unsuspecting Jones. Ultimately, Jack’s goal would be to take Jones’ place as captain of Jones’ ship, making Jack immortal AND freeing Will’s father. 

7
What Captain Les did: Going for it on fourth down is major risk, is indicative of failing to convert on the first three downs and it may be an indicator of desperation to keep a drive or a game alive. LSU is stopped short of converting on third down not once, not twice, but FIVE times by the Florida Gators. Coach Miles goes for it on fourth down, all five times, and converts.

This wore down the Florida defense and milked the clock later in the game. Given the performances of the offensive line and Jacob Hester that evening, the fact that LSU was in a fourth down conversion situation probably put Florida at a greater disadvantage than if LSU had converted in three downs or less on those drives. By the end of the game, all four LSU touchdowns, leading to a 28-24 LSU victory, resulted on drives that included a fourth down conversion.


Date: October 20, 2007
Site: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
Opponent: Auburn Tigers

What Captain Jack did: Jack Sparrow was hunted by the Kraken, because of his debt owed to Davy Jones for his ship and position as Captain. As the Kraken was bearing down on his ship and his crew, Sparrow secures a long boat and begins to escape, so his crew thinks. What much of his crew does not consider or is unaware of is that the Kraken is after Jack, not the ship or the crew. Jack comes back to the ship and fights off the Kraken to aid his crew, ultimately resulting in Jack sacrificing himself and “dying”. Jack’s sacrifice allows him to keep his ship in the land of the dead, inspires his crew to rescue him from the land of the dead, and Jack eventually returns to the land of the living with his ship and can continue his pursuit of immortality. There was no margin for error in Jack’s plan as any one event out of place would have jettisoned the future events that allowed Jack to survive and fight another day.

What Captain Les did: After losing to Kentucky in triple overtime the previous week, LSU was in a must-win (to keep National Championship hopes alive), back-and-forth struggle with the Auburn Tigers. Auburn gained the upper hand in LSU’s home stadium in the 4th quarter. LSU trailed Auburn by one point in the final minute of the game, in field goal range with one timeout remaining. To the shock, befuddlement, horror, and amazement of all 90,000 plus in attendance, Les Miles elected to have his quarterback, Matt Flynn, run the clock down to 8 seconds before beginning what could only be the final attempt at the end zone. Flynn threw a pass to the back of the end zone, which was caught by wide receiver Demetrius Byrd to take the lead with the clock showing one second remaining, allowing no margin for error in LSU’s continued quest for a National Championship. LSU wins 30-24.


Date: October 2, 2010
Site: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
Opponent: Tennessee Volunteers

What Captain Jack Did: In the first Pirates of the Caribbean Movie: The Curse of the Black Pearl, Captain Jack Sparrow makes a series of inexplicable decisions that appear to defy rationality and logic. One would assume that Jack is attempting to meet his own ends, thwart the advances of his enemy, or assist his ally while protecting his own interests.

Jack befriends Will Turner, who is trying to rescue the woman he loves, Elizabeth Swann, only to appear to use Will as bait for the sole purpose of seeking revenge against his enemy, Captain Barbosa. Initially, Will believes he was betrayed, but Jack carefully planned the chain of events to set up a sword fight with Barbosa and gives Will an opportunity to rescue Elizabeth by helping Jack vanquish Barbosa.

Jack saved a poetically symbolic pistol with a single shot to fire at and strike Barbosa. Barbosa, believing that he is immortal, laughs at Jack, believing that he has wasted the shot he saved for 10 years, only to discover that, due to Jack’s manipulation of turned to maneuvering with Will, Barbosa has lost his immortality and, in fact has been mortally wounded.

What Captain Les Did: Les Miles makes a series of inexplicable decisions in the final three plays of the game. Trailing by 4 points in the final minute with no timeouts left and needing a touchdown to win, Les Miles elects to run the football on second down.

Quarterback Jordan Jefferson is stopped short of the goal line with 32 seconds remaining. With the final seconds trickling away, LSU fails to call a play to Jefferson until there are fewer than 20 seconds remaining, with the clock running. The play called included a mass substitution of several wide receivers into the game.

Believing that Coach Miles had lost his mind, creating utter chaos, and that the scheme will never work, Tennessee coach Derek Dooley substitutes the appropriate personnel to cover the LSU receivers into the game. Even more perplexed that Dooley would even consider substituting, some of the Tennessee defenders never left the field, likely never anticipating a substitution under the circumstances.

LSU was able to line up in a legal formation with seven seconds remaining. Believing that Coach Miles was temporarily insane for attempting to substitute and that Jefferson was oblivious to the expiring clock, which was down to 5 seconds, center Robert “T-Bob” Hebert shifted the ball, regardless of the snap count or QB cadence. The ball sailed over Jefferson’s head and Jefferson was tackled as soon as he recovered the ball.

Believing that the game was over Tennessee players began storming the field in jubilation, high-fiving, hugging, and doing back flips, and Dooley prepared for what he believed was a well deserved Gatorade bath. But hold EVERYTHING! Miles remained fixated on the officials, knowing his hours of meticulous planning for this situation was about to bear fruit.

In the mass confusion, Tennessee failed to substitute enough players out and had 13 men on the field. This resulted in a penalty, placing the ball inside the Tennessee 1 yard line and allowing LSU a single, untimed play. Running back Stevan Ridley plowed over the goal line on the following play, securing a 16-14 victory and preserving an unbeaten season for the LSU Tigers, just like Captain Les Miles drew it up!

Well…it could happen!!!!


NOOO! Miles-ed again!