The Heart of a Champion

“The Portland Trailblazers are the low seed nobody wants to face.”

“The Lakers are on a mission to send Phil Jackson out with another three peat.”

“Oklahoma City may win the series if they can take one in Dallas.”

“The Miami Heat have too much talent for the Mavericks to overcome.”

“I told you so.”

Four of these five quotes are what “they” said. The last one is what Mavericks Owner Mark Cuban has had in the little thought bubble over his head throughout the 2011 NBA Playoffs and NBA Finals. Full disclosure: I am not a fan of the Dallas Mavericks. I am a Hornets fan. Being a blogger and not a journalist, I can say that. The Mavericks are a division rival who, frankly, has been a thorn in the side over the years.

I have never been particularly fond of Mark Cuban, even before the Hornets moved to New Orleans. I have often thought of him as new money run amok. More disclosure: I am a LeBron fan and I wanted them to win this series. One would think it would pain me to write this piece. Not really.

No matter how much I love or hate a certain player, team, or personality, I have no problem with telling it how I see it. Dallas overcame hurdle after hurdle, doubt after doubt, and obstacle after obstacle. Dirk Nowitzki, the Most Valuable Player of the NBA Finals has frequently been criticized over the years for underachieving. Yes, he is a great shooter, but he is soft on defense and in the paint. Yes, he has helped lead his team to a lot of regular season victories and yes he was the 2007 Most Valuable Player, but he and his team always checked out in the playoffs. Dirk took all of the “yeah, buts” and showed them his butt.

Here is the bottom line. The Mavericks swept the two time defending champion Los Angeles Lakers. They came from behind, what appeared to be, an insurmountable deficit against the Oklahoma City Thunder, preventing the Thunder from tying the Western Conference Finals at two games apiece. They repeated the feat in Games 2 and 4 against the Heat, trailing by 15 and 9 points in the fourth quarter, respectively.

Those are all hallmarks of a champion. The goal is to win. The goal is to be the last team standing. That is what the Mavericks did. That is how they, and they alone, earned to be the champions of the NBA. 

How sweet it is! 1

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Game 6 – This One Is for All the Marbles

Game 6 of the NBA Finals is Sunday night. This one is for all the marbles. The winners will be the champions of the NBA. The losers will have the longest summer among the other 29 teams, in spite of it lasting the shortest amount of time.

What’s that? This is only Game 6, you say? The Miami Heat need to win a Game 7 to hoist the Larry O’Brien trophy, you say? I need to learn how to count, eh?

No, I know exactly what I am saying. The Dallas Mavericks may lead this series 3 games to 2. The Mavericks will participate in a Game 7 if they lose Game 6. However, if the Heat win Game 6, they are not looking back and the Mavericks are not recovering.


HISTORY IS ON MIAMI’S SIDE

Miami has recent history and NBA history working on its side. Recently, as in the 2011 playoffs, the Heat have lost one playoff game at home. It was a miraculous, historic comeback by the Mavericks in Game 2.

Historically, the road team has not won the seventh game of the NBA Finals since 1978. During this series, the Mavericks have only outplayed the Heat for the majority of the game once, in Game 5. And historically, Game Sevens in any sport in any round have been won by the home team in heavy proportions.

This is what the NBA looked like the last time a team won a Game 7 of the Finals on the road - The Washinton Bullets beat the Seattle Supersonics. Those shorts were not flattering on Hall of Famer Wes Unseld (41). 2

THE GAME IS PLAYED ON THE COURT

History is just that: history, what happened in the past. Still, if the Mavericks are to beat the Heat in a seventh game, it would require a Miami win in Game 6. In common vernacular, the Heat haven’t figured Dallas out over the past two games. Miami had fourth quarter leads in the last two games, but could not put a lid on the Mavs.

If the Heat can crack the code in Game 6, considering the already existing advantage Miami has in talent over Dallas, how much room could the Mavericks make up in a seventh game on the road? This series, were it not for a lot of breaks going just the way the Mavericks needed them in Games Two and Four, may have ended in a four game sweep.

In addition, LeBron James is in the midst of a vicious two game slump, particularly in the fourth quarter. Great players do not stay down for long. They just don’t. For the Heat to win Game Six, they will probably need all that LeBron has to offer. If The King snaps out of his funk during Game 6, does anyone think he is going to suddenly lose his confidence and go back into his shell for Game Seven?

Dallas needs an encore from Jason Terry in Game 6. 3

ONE SHOT

Much like Dirk Nowitzki of the Mavericks had one opportunity to complete the Mavericks comeback from 15 points down in 7 minutes in regulation in the final seconds, the Mavericks have one opportunity to win the 2011 NBA Championship: Game 6. If this series goes to a 7th and deciding game, the Mavericks will be there, but likely be watching confetti fall in Miami at the end of it.

I don't think the Mavericks want to see this sight, again. 1

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Must See Sports – Second Weekend of June 2011

Thursday, June 9

NBA Finals – Game 5
Miami Heat at Dallas Mavericks

Tonight is the pivotal Game 5. The winner will have two chances to win one more game and be NBA Champions. The loser will have its back against the wall in Game 6. While either team will claim a significant strategic advantage with a win, this game, tonight, is more critical to Dallas than Miami.

Should the Mavericks lose, they would face the daunting task of having to win back-to-back games in Miami, including a Game 7. Seventh games are rarely won on the road. The last time it happened in the NBA Finals was 1978, when the Washington Bullets beat the Seattle Supersonics in Seattle.

Miami has outplayed Dallas for the majority of all of the games in this series, but has inexplicably taken its foot off the gas pedal late in games. The problem for the Mavericks is that Miami has more talented players and if the Heat are focused for all 48 minutes, they are extremely difficult to beat. I think LeBron James will play with a sense of urgency tonight and I don't think the Mavericks can stop The King in that mode.

Advantages - Game: Heat Series: Heat  

The King hasn't quite gone this far, but he and the Heat only have themselves to blame for not yet planning the victory parade. 1

Friday, June 10

NHL

Stanley Cup Finals – Game 5
Boston Bruins at Vancouver Canucks

I have absolutely no read on this series. The home team has won every game. Vancouver has slipped by Boston on its home ice while the Bruins have obliterated the Canucks in Boston. Vancouver had the best regular season record in the NHL, with 117 points. Yet the Canucks have never really solved the Bruins in any of the first four games. No game is played in a vacuum, but if a couple of unlucky bounces were removed from the equations of games 1 and 2, the Bruins could have swept this series and hoisted the Stanley Cup for the first time since 1972.

Home ice has dictated this series thus far. Vancouver is the better team on paper. The absence of injured Bruins forward Nathan Horton, who was lost for the series after a blindside hit from Aaron Rome (suspended for the series) of the Canucks will not help the Bruins cause. I think the Canucks regain control of the series on Friday.

Advantages - Game: Canucks, Series: Canucks

Michael Ryder of the Bruins chipped in one of several goals in Game 4. 2

Saturday, June 11

MLB
Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants
Mike Leake (5-2, 4.63 ERA) – Reds vs Tim Lincecum (5-4, 2.85 ERA)

The defending World Series champion (and first place in the NL West) Giants host the defending NL Central champion Cincinnati Reds, who have cooled down considerably after a hot start to the season. Tim Lincecum will get the ball for the Giants. He has kept on rolling this season, with 93 strikeouts so far and reaching his 1000th career strikeout in his last start. Lincecum will match wits with Mike Leake of the Reads. Leake is riding a string of three straight quality starts.

The Reds have suffered from porous pitching, in spite of getting a solid number of innings from starting pitchers. Their monster bats have kept them in the hunt. Joey Votto (.335, 8 HR, 38 RBI), last year's National League MVP and Jay Bruce (.299, 17 HR, 47 RBI) continue to anchor a strong lineup. However, in baseball, particularly the National League, strong pitching usually trumps strong pitching. The Giants will need a strong performance from Lincecum, though, as their bats continue to be anemic.

Advantages - Game: Giants, Series: Giants

I KNEW it! Hey! Two Cy Youngs? 1000 career strikeouts at age 26? Don't criticize! Leagalize!

Sunday, June 12

NBA Finals – Game 6
Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat

Someone could hoist the Larry O'Brien trophy on Sunday night. I expect that to be Heat. I think Dallas has used all nine of their lives in the playoffs.

Advantages - Game: Heat, Series: Heat




Monday, June 13

NHL

Stanley Cup Finals – Game 6
Vancouver Canucks at Boston Bruins

The NHL playoffs have had a lot of close games and seventh games during this post season. This series appears to be indicative of that pattern. Vancouver has yet to dominate the Bruins in any game in this series and has had no answer for them in Boston. I think this series goes 7 games.

Advantages - Game: Bruins, Series: Canucks

Not really ebony & ivory, but cute. 3

MLB

Cleveland Indians at New York Yankees
Carlos Carrasco (5-3, 4.52 ERA) – Indians vs A.J. Burnett (6-4, 4.37 ERA) – Yankees

The Cleveland Indians, in first place in the AL Central, have come down to Earth, a little. The Indians had the best record in the American League for most of the season, but were recently passed by the Boston Red Sox. The New York Yankees are only a game behind the Red Sox and trail the Tribe by only a half game in the American League. The Detroit Tigers are only a game and a half back of Cleveland in the American League Central. That makes this series both compelling and critical to standing in the league.

Carlos Carrasco has won four of his last five starts for the Indians, but has been prone to occasionally giving up runs in bunches. He will continue to need the support of red hot Astrubal Cabrera (.302, 12 HR, 42 RBI) and the Cleveland lineup. In contrast, A.J. Burnett of the Yankees was rocked in his last start yesterday, giving up seven earned runs in less than 6 innings of work in a loss to the Red Sox. In addition, it has been difficult to predict how many innings the Yankees can expect to get from Burnett. Sometimes he can last into the late innings, sometimes he barely lasts past the 5th inning. The Yankees will need to rely on their power hitting in this game. Mark Teixeira (.258, 18 HR, 43 RBI) has continued to offer support to a gradually resurgent Yankees lineup, but has been feast or famine in the month of June, thus far.

Consistency is key. Neither team offers it, lately. I'll defer to home field advantage in this series matchup.


Advantages - Game: Indians, Series: Yankees

C.C. has had a lot of fat jokes made at his expense, but I'd rather be "Captain Cheeseburger" or "Charleston Chew" than be lampooned like his teammate, Joba Chamberlain. 4

Tuesday, June 14

NBA Finals – Game 7 (if necessary)
Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat

Miami has lost once at home in this postseason, to Dallas. No team has won a Game 7 of the NBA Finals on the road in over 30 years. I do not expect lightning to strike twice if a Game 7 is necessary.

Advantages - Game: Heat, Series: Heat


MLB

Texas Rangers at New York Yankees
Alexi Ogando (7-0, 2.10 ERA) – Rangers vs C.C. Sabathia (7-3, 2.80 ERA) –Yankees


Though not technically a rookie because of the number of innings pitched in relief last season, Alexi Ogondo is off to a fantastic start to his career as a starter in the Major Leagues. He is undefeated in all of his starts for the Rangers, in first place in the AL West, and continues to be hot on the mound, only giving up two earned runs in his last 15-2/3 innings pitched. His unbeaten string will face a challenge from C.C. Sabathia of the Yankees. The big guy has won his last four consecutive starts and pitched 8 or more innings in those starts.

Rangers right fielder Nelson Cruz (.237, 14 HR, 33 RBI) has been on a tear of late, hitting four homeruns in the past week. In concert with the consistent Michael Young (.310, 3 HR, 37 RBI) and Adrian Beltre (.257, 12 HR, 45 RBI), Sabathia will face a tough challenge of his own. Whether or not Ogando gets a decision, I do not think he gets a win in Yankee Stadium, opposing a red hot former two time Cy Young winner in Sabathia.

Advantages: Game – Yankees, Series: Yankees

 
Wednesday, June 15

NHL

Stanley Cup Finals – Game 7 (if necessary)
Boston Bruins at Vancouver Canucks

I think this game will be necessary and the rule of thumb in seventh games is that, absent some other momentum shifting change, such as an injury, the home team has a tremendous advantage. The Pittsburgh Penguins won Game 7 of the Stanley Cup finals at Detroit in 2009. The last time a team won Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Finals on the road was 1971, when the Montreal Canadiens beat the Chicago Blackhawks on their own ice.

Advantages - Game: Canucks, Series: Canucks

If a seventh game is necessary, it will all be on the line. 5

MLB

Florida Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies
Anibal Sanchez (5-1, 2.97 ERA) - Marlins vs Kyle Kendrick (3-4, 3.78 ERA) - Phillies 

Anibal Sanchez has continued to be on a roll, with 79 strikeouts on the season and having won five consecutive decisions. Sanchez was touched up in his last start, against Milwaukee (5 ER in 5 IP), but had a string of five straight quality starts, including a complete game shutout, prior to that. Kyle Kendrick is making his fifth start of the season for the Phillies.


The Marlins are in the midst of a vicious slump, having lost nine of their last ten games and falling into third place, behind both the Phillies and Atlanta Braves, five games back of the NL East leading Phillies. In addition, Marlins first baseman Gaby Sanchez (.310, 10 HR, 38 RBI), who is having a breakout year, so far, has cooled off in the month of June, hitting only .231 with 1 HR and 3 RBIs during the month.

The Phillies have also cooled somewhat, having lost five of their last eight games. Their bats have simply not gotten the job done, hitting only .214 with 1 homerun as a team in the month of June. Still, the Phillies have the clear advantage over almost every other team in the National League, except for possibly the Braves and Giants. They are at home and the Marlins are struggling to find themselves right now.

Advantages - Game: Phillies, Series: Phillies

If you wanna win, put Billy in! 6

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Dirk Nowitzki Should Take His Gratitude to South Beach

LeBron James took his talents to South Beach last summer. This summer, Dirk Nowitzki should send a “thank you” card there.

Four games in to the 2011 NBA Finals, the series is tied, 2-2. In Game 2 and Game 4, the Mavericks trailed by several possessions in the fourth quarter. Both times, the Heat were held to less than 10 points for the remainder of the game after the Mavericks began to rally. Both times, Dirk Nowitzki rose above to snatch a victory for his team from the jaws of defeat. In Game 2, he rose above the Heat defense. Last night, he rose above an elevated body temperature, playing with a fever over 100 degrees.

Dirk caught every breath he could in between the whistles. 1

ONCE, TWICE, THREE TIMES
As I have said so often, once is a coincidence, twice is a pattern, and three times is a trend. This is now the third time in the Mavericks past six games in which they have faced a fourth quarter deficit that appeared too wide to close and the Mavericks shut down their opponent defensively while Nowitzki made, seemingly, every shot from everywhere on the court to close the gap and eventually win the game. This is a trend.

Last night was the first game in the series. Among the vast majority of the NBA’s other 28 teams available as opponents, the Heat, nine times out of ten, hold on to a 15 point and 9 point fourth quarter lead to win Games 2 and 4, respectively. Had the Heat won those games, this series would be over and the Heat would be champs.

In the same breath, one could argue that if the Mavericks were in a series with another team, under the same circumstances in the fourth quarter, this series would be over and the Mavs could have spent the offseason with the stain of being swept from the playoffs. The Heat, collectively, only have the man in the mirror to blame for the Heat not being NBA champions. LeBron James’ 8 point performance last night, in spite of his 9 rebounds, 7 assists, and 2 steals, was not enough to put the Mavericks, or any NBA team, away. The Heat’s defense was not aggressive enough in the fourth quarter to slam the door on a team with a player like Dirk Nowitzki, who can hit any open (and even “not so open”) shot from anywhere at any time. The Heat did not take care of the basketball well enough to deny the Mavericks the opportunity to score enough points to take the lead in the fourth quarter. The Heat can only point to “the Heat” for being responsible for the final result of every game in this series.

"Should we help them out a little more?" 2

WILL THE MAVERICKS BE TAKING THEIR CHAMPAGNE TO SOUTH BEACH?

Dirk Nowitzki is a great player. If the Mavericks can win two more games in this series, a tall order with Game 6 being played in Miami, Nowitzki will be the Most Valuable Player of the series. Make no mistake, however, that Nowitski’s impressive accomplishments would not be possible without a willing opponent. If Dallas does, in fact, earn championship rings from this series, Dirk and his teammates, in addition to thanking God, their families, and the fans, should thank the Miami Heat for making the accomplishment possible.

If the Mavericks win, they should at least allow the Heat to touch the trophy. After all, they contributed, too. 3

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A Game of Inches

The phrase “game of inches” was used frequently, describing the game of football, in the 1999 blockbuster movie “Any Given Sunday”. Basketball can also be a game of inches. The same has applied several times in basketball during the 2011 NBA Finals.

"Inches" 1

Inches have been the difference between this series being close and the series being out of reach. Inches have been the difference between the Heat holding the 2-1 advantage and reclaiming home court advantage and the Mavericks completely taking the momentum, holding a 2-1 advantage and retaining the home court edge.

In the final seven minutes of Game 2, in which Dallas came back from a 15 point deficit to win by two points, how many inches did the Mavericks have to spare on any shot? How many inches, defensively, did the Mavericks have to yield to the Heat on any given possession? The Heat only scored five points during the Mavericks comeback run and only lost by a single basket.

How many inches separated the Heat’s Mario Chalmers’ foot from being in the backcourt, invalidating his three point shot at the end of the first quarter? Replay demonstrated that the officials PROBABLY should have called a backcourt violation. The play was close enough for Chlamers to receive the benefit of the doubt from the officials. An inch or two more in the other direction…there is probably no 3 point basket. The Heat won by two last night.

Maron Chalmers: inches 2



How many inches (if even one inch) was the Mavericks’ Dirk Nowitzki’s potential game tying shot off by in the final seconds? Could the Heat have held the Mavericks off in overtime in Dallas, with the momentum having shifted to the Mavericks? Could Udonis Haslem of the Heat have yielded a single inch more to Nowitzki as Nowtizki shot, without the ball going into the basket?

A few more inches for the Heat in Game 2, and they would hold a historically insurmountable 3-0 series lead. A few more inches for the Mavericks in Game 3, and they would hold a 2-1 series lead with the next two games being played in Dallas. A few inches in the direction of either team, and this series could have a completely different face that it has.

However, the inches fell where they did. The Heat lead the series 2 games to 1 and do not have to win another game in Dallas if they can successfully defend their home floor, going forward. The Mavericks need to win 3 of their next 4 games to keep their championship hopes alive, and three straight if they want to avoid a Game 7 on the road, historically very difficult to win in NBA. If the first three games of this series are an indicator…well…get your tape measures ready!

Dirk Nowitzki: inches 3

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Dallas: The New “Clutch City” in Texas

The year: 1994

The situation: The Houston Rockets blew big leads and dropped their first two games at home in the second round to the defending Western Conference champion Phoenix Suns. The local newspaper, The Houston Chronicle, displayed the headline "Choke City" after the second fiasco against the Suns.

The result: The Rockets won the next two games in Phoenix and successfully defended their home court, going forward, for a 4-3 series victory.

The aftermath: The Rockets would advance to the NBA Finals against the New York Knicks, which they would trail 3 games to 2. The Rockets would win games 6 and 7 to with their first, ever, NBA Championship. The repeated narrow escapes by the Rockets gave birth to the moniker “Clutch City” for Houston.

1

The year: 1995

The pretext: The Rockets faced elimination, trailing the Utah Jazz 2 games to 1 in the best-of-five opening round series. The Rockets would rally to win Game 4 and then take Game 5 in Utah.

The situation: The Houston rockets faced the Suns, again, in the second round of the playoffs, trailing 3 games to 1 and facing elimination.

The result: The Rockets were able to force overtime and survive to play, and win, a Game 6 and Game 7.

The aftermath: The Rockets never looked back, winning the Western Conference Finals in six games and sweeping the Orlando Magic in the Finals, making the 6th seeded Rockets the lowest conference seed ever to win an NBA Championship. The “Clutch City” name achieves boiler plate status in the NBA when referring to the Houston Rockets and their "Double Clutch" in 1995.

Sir Charles never got a second shot in the NBA Finals. He has "Clutch City" to thank. 2

The year: 2006

The situation: The Dallas Mavericks held a 2-0 series lead in the NBA Finals over the Miami Heat. Leading by 13 points with six minutes remaining in Game 3, the Mavericks had the Heat, and the series, all but put away, as no team in NBA history has ever won a best of seven series after trailing 3 games to none.

The result: Dwyane Wade elevated himself to the NBA’s group of “A list” superstars in this series, starting by leading a rally and finishing the game with 42 points and 13 rebounds en route to a dramatic comeback victory.

The aftermath: The Heat never looked back, going on to win the Finals 4-2. Dwyane Wade won the NBA Finals MVP award, being recognized as one of the league’s elite going forward.

The beginning of The Legend of  "Flash" 3

The year: 2011

The situation: The Dallas Mavericks trailed the Oklahoma City Thunder by 15 points with less than 5 minutes remaining, leading the series 2 games to 1 in the Western Conference Finals. OKC was on the verge of tying the series, heading back to Dallas, and avoid an ominous 3 games to 1 hole, which usually is sign of doom for the team trailing in any professional sport, with comebacks from such a deficit being rare.

The result: Dirk Nowitzki of the Mavericks began hitting difficult shots and following them up by hitting improbable shots. The Mavs rallied to send the game into overtime and then took complete control, earning the win by allowing the Thunder only 6 points in the final five minutes and overtime.

The aftermath: The Mavs completely let the air out of the Thunder’s balloon, winning the following game and advancing to the NBA Finals.

You couldn't spell "choke" without the letters "OKC" that night.

The year: 2011

The situation: The Dallas Mavericks trailed the Miami Heat by 15 points with less than 7 minutes remaining, trailing 1 game to none in the NBA Finals. Miami was on the verge of taking a 2-0 series lead, heading to Dallas. A two games to none hole is often sign of doom for the team trailing in any professional sport, with comebacks from such a deficit in the Finals round being rare.

The result: Dirk Nowitzki scored the Mavericks’ last 9 points, en route to a series tying victory earned by allowing only 5 points to the Heat for the remainder of the game. Dallas claimed home court advantage for the remainder of the series.

The aftermath: ???

AGAIN??? 4

BACK TO THE FUTURE
Apparently there IS a DeLorean with a Flux Capacitor, like from the movie Back To The Future. It is in Texas. Like the Houston Rockets in the mid-1990s, the Dallas Mavericks were able to hop in and channel the karma from a prior improbable comeback.

Following Miami’s Game 1 victory in the NBA Finals, many pundits in sports media predicted a Heat series victory in 5 games or less. Many said that the Mavericks cold not stop Dwyane Wade and LeBron James and Chris Bosh, possibly one, maybe two, but not all three. With seven minutes remaining, the analysts appeared to be spot on. Unfortunately for the Heat, Dirk happens.

The ultimate irony (or “poetic justice” or whatever term you prefer) is that the Heat were less than half of a quarter away from taking a series lead that few teams recover from. The comeback by the Mavericks shifted the momentum of the series and added to Dirk Nowitzki’s legacy at the expense of the legacy of Dwyane Wade and other members of the Heat. Five years ago, the Mavs were less than half of a quarter away from taking a lead that no team ever recovered from, only to fall in a performance that began Dwyane Wade’s legacy and cast a shadow over the legacy of Dirk Nowitzki.

Sports are often like life. This is one of the most alluring characteristics of sports. Poetry is an art form based on what man can experience in life. Last night, life imitated art.

The DeLorean: Texas style!!! 5

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Must See Sports – First Weekend of June 2011

Thursday, June 2

2011 NBA Finals – Game 2
Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat

Game 2 is always a high pressure game for any team in any playoff series. Someone could fall behind 0-2, making the chances of winning 4 of the next 5 games for the trailing team slim. Someone could either lose home court advantage or risk dropping their first two games at home, almost always too large of a hole to crawl out of. The series could be tied. Game 2 is always critical.

The Miami Heat earned a solid victory at home in Game 1 on Tuesday. In that game, Dirk Nowitzki of the Mavericks suffered a finger injury on his non-shooting hand. Nowitzki likes to go left, however, so this injury is likely to have some degree of influence on how he plays. The question of how much influence remains.

LeBron James and Dwayne Wade both played the role of “closer by committee” with a run of fourth quarter scores. The defense of the Heat was enough to contain Nowitzki and the Mavericks, although he was not stopped, having scored 27 points. While Nowitzki got his points, other players were held in check, for the most part.

For Dallas to win tonight, they will need to reduce the already low number of mistakes made in Game 1. Nowitzki absolutely must get some help on the perimeter. Mavericks reserve players JJ Berea, Brendan Haywood, and Peja Stojakovic have to combine for more than 5 points. Finally, the Mavericks need to force the Heat into making some mistakes, as they will not shut down all of Miami’s “big three” of LeBron James, Dwayne Wade, and Chris Bosh.

Miami has not lost at home in the 2011 playoffs. While I expect Dallas to be competitive and to push back at the Heat, I do not expect the end result to be any different for the Mavericks. While I think Miami will win, I also think, with the series returning to Dallas for three games, that this series is far from over and that the NBA champion will be crowned in South Beach in a Game 6 or Game 7.

Advantages – Game: Heat, Series: Heat

The King is in hot pursuit of more jewels. 1

Friday, June 3

MLB
Texas Rangers at Cleveland Indians
Alexi Ogando (5-0, 2.33 ERA) – Rangers vs Justin Masterson (5-3, 3.07 ERA) – Indians

The resurgent Cleveland Indians, with the best record in the Majors host the first place, defending American League champion Texas Rangers. Alexi Ogando will continue what has been an extremely impressive first full season as a starter in Major League Baseball. He is still undefeated this year, in spite of a rough outing (no decision) in his last start against the Kansas City Royals, following a complete game shutout against the Chicago White Sox on May 23.

Ogando is going to provide a challenge to the Indians, especially if Rangers DH Michael Young (.335, 3 HR, 36 RBI) and 3B Adrian Beltre (.252, 11 HR, 43 RBI) continue to swing their bats as well as they have this year. If Josh Hamilton (.291, 1 HR, 13 RBI) can return to form, after recently coming back from his leg injury, the top of the Rangers’ order can be an extremely difficult out to get.

The Indians will start Justin Masterson. The 26 year old got off to an extremely hot start to the 2011 season, but has cooled off since. Masterson has lost his last three straight decisions and did not record a win in the month of May. He was rocked on Sunday as the Indians lost, 7-0, to the Tampa Bay Rays. Masterson must reverse the recent trend if he expects to earn a victory tomorrow night.

Indians shortstop Astrubal Cabrera (.306, 10 HR, 39 RBI) has been a one man wrecking crew for the Tribe. He has been the team’s best hitter this year. From the shortstop position, that contribution is invaluable and is a major factor in the Indians early season dominance of the American League.

Right now the Rangers are hot. The Indians are not really hot (5-7 in their last 12 games). Ogando has yet to hit any big speed bumps while Masterson is digging out of a funk. In spite of being on the road, the Rangers have the edge in the second game of this four game series.

Advantages – Game: Rangers, Series: Rangers

Indians shortstop Astrubal Cabrera's name is on my short list for American League MVP candidates. 2

Saturday, June 4

NHL

Stanley Cup Finals – Game 2
Boston Bruins at Vancouver Canucks

Vancouver won Game 1 in dramatic fashion, with Raffi Torres scoring the game’s only goal in the final 20 seconds of the game. Game 1 was hard fought, physical, and intense, including a Mike Tyson-esque biting incident during a fight. Hockey fans can only hope that Game 2 offers similar excitement. Vancouver was the best team in the regular season and, after surviving a near historic choke against the Chicago Blackhawks in the first round, Vancouver has been the best team in the playoffs. While the Bruins have overcome a number of challenges to reach the finals, I think the better team wins this game, in Vancouver, and this series.

Advantages – Game: Canucks, Series: Canucks

Alex Burrows of the Canucks (right) gave a different meaning to "jaw-dropping action" while reinforcing the "keep your hands to yourself" principle to Patrice Bergeron of the Bruins. 3

Sunday, June 5

2011 NBA Finals – Game 3
Miami Heat at Dallas Mavericks

Tonight’s Game 2 will be able to more accurately calibrate expectations for the series as it returns to Dallas for games 3, 4, and 5 (if necessary). Still, I expect the Mavericks to elevate their game back at home and I do not expect Dallas to fall into a 3-0 hole (which could happen if the Mavs drop Game 2, which I expect).

Advantages – Game: Mavericks, Series: Heat


Monday, June 6

MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies
Ted Lilly (4-4, 4.22 ERA) – Dodgers vs Cliff Lee (4-5, 3.94 ERA)

The Dodgers, in spite of a host of off-the-field issues, are not hopelessly behind in the NL West, trailing the streaking Arizona Diamondbacks by 6 games. Its on the field issues, like having a bottom of the batting order that completely bottoms out, are giving Dodgers fans little cause for optimism, though.

Other than Andre Ethier (.325, 5 HR, 26 RBI) and Matt Kemp (.306, 13 HR, 40 RBI, broke up with Rihanna) there is very little pop in the Dodgers’ bats. There are far too many players in the Dodgers’ lineup hitting below .250 to give the Dodgers’ pitching the support it needs to win consistently. Dodgers starting pitchers, generally, have given a solid number of innings, but have been otherwise average. Lilly fits the team profile.

The Phillies just keep on rolling, with the best record in the National League. Lee was rocked in his last start against the Washington Nationals yesterday, giving up 6 earned runs in a 10-2 loss. While he has not been as dominant in 2011 as he has been in the past, he has otherwise been consistent, giving the Phillies enough innings of work and keeping the opponents’ score low enough for the Phillies to be able to win. He has also mowed down enough batters, already at 90 strikeouts, to escape any jam he gets into.

Advantages – Game: Phillies, Series: Phillies

I wonder what is worse for Matt Kemp: toiling with monster numbers to no avail for the struggling Dodgers this year or knowing that he won't be able to put his hands all over Rihanna anymore. Actually, if I am on the Dodgers' payroll, I am probably more concerned about my paycheck bouncing than anything else. 4

Tuesday, June 7

2011 NBA Finals – Game 4
Miami Heat at Dallas Mavericks

Without the aid of a crystal ball, this game is hard to call. Realistically, I expect the Heat to take one of the three games in Dallas. Absent any other information, it is difficult to project where that victory will come. I think that Miami will win the series and Game 5 (if necessary) is often the most pivotal in any best of seven series, regardless of the location or participants. My best guess is that Game 5 will offer the Heat its best opportunity for a road win en route to a series victory. If only I had that crystal ball….

Advantages – Game: Mavericks, Series: Heat


Wednesday, June 8

MLB

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees
Clay Buchholz (4-3, 3.41) – Red Sox vs A.J. Burnett (6-3, 3.86) – Yankees

The fiercest rivalry in baseball is set for another series. Yankees, Red Sox, and Rays continue their threesome of musical chairs with first place in the American League East, with 2½ games separating the (for) now first place Yankees from the third place Rays. A series winner could yield a new division leader.

The Yankees were swept in 3 games during their last series meeting with the Red Sox. Since then, the Yankees have let their bats do the talking. Alex Rodriguez (.292, 9 HR, 31 RBI) has since been on a tear, reaching base in the last 15 consecutive games and Curtis Granderson (.278, 17 HR, 41 RBI) continues to prime the Yankees powerful offensive pump. They should supply ample run support for Burnett, who will be making his first start against the Red Sox this year.

Buchholz has a string of four consecutive quality starts, but with only one decision, a win, in those starts. Perhaps he has just been a victim of bad timing as the Red Sox have swung their bats well for most of the season. Red Sox first baseman Adrian Gonzalez (.329, 10 HR, 46 RBI) continues to be as good as advertised and designated hitter David “Big Papi” Ortiz (.313, 13 HR, 38 RBI) is off to one of his better starts to a season, batting .342 in the month of May and only 23 strikeouts on the season, putting him on pace for less than half of his strikeout total from last season.

The Yankees are riding a modest hot streak and are back home. I think they are due to repay the favor of the Red Sox sweep of them from the last series.

Advatages – Game: Yankees, Series: push

A-Rod is another example of how talent, performance, and success can help a person overcome anything, even THIS! 5

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1) Image from tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com
2) Image from zimbio.com
3) Image from vancouversun.com
4) image from okmagazine.com
5) Image from bumpshack.com

The Heat Is On!

1

Game 1 of the NBA Finals is in the books. The Miami Heat beat the Dallas Mavericks, 92-84. The game was close until the Heat, at home, were able to put some space between themselves and the Mavericks. Dwyane Wade (22 pts, 10 rebs, 6 asst) was very solid, especially in the 4th quarter. LeBron James (24 pts, 9 rebs, 5 asst) was his usual, dominant self, with some coffin-nailing dunks late in the game. Chris Bosh chipped in with 19 points.

In de face! 2

WHAT WE DO KNOW AND WHAT WE DON'T KNOW

Game 1 told us absolutely nothing that we do not know already. Three of the four best players in the series are on one team: the Heat. Miami won a game at home with those three players delivering when called upon. Dallas, an excellent team in its own right, played well but could not contain all three of Miami’s big weapons down the stretch. Dirk Nowitzki (27 pts, 8 rebs) is going to get his shots, but The King is a man on a mission.

What DO we know? Game 2 is Thursday night in Miami. Falling into an 0-2 hole in a best of seven series is often an omen of doom, though slightly less of an omen if those losses are on the road and the games are close. Miami has not lost at home during the playoffs during the entire 2011 postseason. At the same time, until last night, Dallas never trailed in a series during the postseason.


THE SMOKE FROM THE OPENING SALVO TELLS US?

I am not ready to write the Mavericks off, after one competitive game, in this series. However, after watching the matchups, I do think the Mavericks’ margin for error is extremely slim. The Mavericks are probably going to need 30+ points from Dirk, in addition to the normal contribution from the other Mavericks players, in order to beat the Heat.

One game does not dictate an entire series, but it does set the tone for the following game, and POSSIBLY the entire series. It also gives the viewer a landscape of the different battles to be fought during a series. Unless the Mavericks can bring their already small number of mistakes down even lower and Nowitzki can rise above the pack, as he did multiple times in the Western Conference Finals against the Oklahoma City Thunder, the Heat may be a few days away from hoisting the championship trophy in the presence of the Dallas Mavericks, for the second time in five years.

Dirk is going to need a little more help and a little more Dirk. 3

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1, 2, 3) Images from espn.com