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Showing posts with label Andrew McCutchen. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Andrew McCutchen. Show all posts

Thursday, April 10, 2014

2014 Major League Baseball Preview - National League

Yesterday, we previewed the American League. Today, the rest of the majors...! Teams are listed by division in their expected order of finish.

National League

N.L. East

Washington Nationals – The Nationals, anchored by Stephen Strasburg, are loaded in their starting rotation. This year, provided they stay healthy, the Nats should have enough pop in their batting order to give their arms the (relatively minimal) run support needed to win against most opponents. Last year was a bitter disappointment resulting from one bad break after another. Expect D.C. to put the train back on the track in 2014.


Atlanta Braves – What a surprise! The Braves are expected to contend again. Arguably one of the National League’s two best run franchises in the past 20 years, the Braves are not rebuilding after coming up short in the playoffs last year. They’re reloading. And they are loaded with power in their batting order.

Losing longtime ace starter Tim Husdon to the San Francisco Giants is going to remove some reliable stability from the rotation. Still, Atlanta has a lot of youth with a lot of upside in waiting, starting with new ace Julio Teheran. The Braves also went young in the bullpen. How that plays out remains to be seen. What is fairly certain is that if they can get to the 9th inning with a lead, closer Craig Kimbrel should nail it down 9 times out of 10.


Miami Marlins – To paraphrase Charles Barkley, they won’t be “turrble”. This team has a ton of young talent that I expect to demonstrate an exponential degree of development since last season. Jose Fernandez is on his way to establishing himself as one of the bright, young, future superstars on the mound. Giancarlo Stanton brings something the Fish haven’t had since trading Hanley Ramierz: a young star-potential player with some pop in his bat. Finally, picking up Jared Saltalamacchia from Boston behind the dish was a good move; the 2 position won’t be a black hole in the batting order.


Philadelphia Phillies –With this roster, you may as well hand the N.L. East division title over to them now…five years ago. They are long in the tooth from top to bottom.


New York Mets – This team’s opponents would already need to have their maple bats replaced with plastic whiffle ball bats just to keep the playing field level. Notwithstanding the crippling loss of ace Matt Harvey for the season (Tommy John surgery), the Mets have a respectable starting rotation. Their bullpen, however, appears to be an afterthought, with the big turd in the punch bowl being overweight, washed up Jose Valverde as the closer.

They have done very little to offset the anemic hitting that plagued them last season. They did acquire former All-Star centerfielder Curtis Granderson. But at age 33, coming off of an ineffective, injury-riddled season, I’m of the opinion that “♪ The Grandy Man can’t ♫”!

That's the same blur that batters see when facing Strasburg. 1
N.L. Central

Pittsburgh Pirates – Losing A.J. Burnett to the Phillies cost the Bucs some experience, but also with his departure left some unreliability in big moments for which Burnett was becoming infamous in recent years. The rotation is reasonably solid. If Endison Volquez, now age 30, can turn it around – being the strikeout machine he was with the Cincinnati Reds while limiting the number of critical runs given up – the Pirates could put some distance between themselves and the rest of the Central division by the All-Star break. In spite of having reigning MVP centerfielder Andrew McCuthchen, this team is going to live and die with its arms.


St. Louis Cardinals – This team is loaded in the field. Their seasoned and (mostly) accomplished rotation is intact and healthy this season. Cardinals fans should keep an eye on the bullpen, however. They are very young with little experience relative to other bullpens. Still, last postseason showed us that “age ain’t nothing but a number” with the breakout performances of starting pitcher Michael Wacha and relief pitcher Carlos Martinez, both age 22.


Cincinnati Reds – This is a Big Red Pitching Machine. The big equalizer for the Reds is closer Aroldis Chapman, who will miss a few weeks after being hit in the head recently by a line drive. The sooner he returns, the sooner Cincy can race at full speed. Their lineup will be very dependent upon middle-of-the-order sluggers Joey Votto and Jay Bruce to provide adequate run support, though.


Milwaukee Brewers – The Brewers went from, just a few years ago, having the best position players in the National League but underwhelming pitching, to having a good pitching rotation (perhaps “very good”) but a cast of unknowns playing every day. Former MVP outfielder Ryan Braun’s return from a PED suspension will give the Brew Crew an offisive lift over last season.


Chicago Cubs – A collection of unknowns and has-beens in the field plus some never-will-be’s on the mound equals another finish in the cellar for the Cubs. I'm not sure where General Manger Theo Epstein is taking the Cubs.

Their mascot outfit is terrible.

McCutchen is a mega-star, but is he clutch enough to put the entire batting order on his back? 2


N.L. West

Los Angeles Dodgers – Let’s see. This team was in last place at the end of last June. They get some key players back healthy, such as shortstop Hanley Ramirez, call up a rock star in right fielder Yasiel Puig, and their pitchers all begin hitting their strides at once. Voila! L.A. runs away with the division.

I wonder what will happen this year with those key pieces in place on Opening Day. They have one obvious weakness, at the catcher position. They brought in veteran Drew Butera to call the signals behind the plate. I don’t know much about his defensive scouting report but he must be really good: he has hit below the Mendoza line for his career.

Otherwise, this team has no soft spots on its roster. This is a pennant or bust year for the Dodgers and they are set up to reach their goal. 


Arizona Diamondbacks – All-Star first baseman Paul Goldschmidt is the real deal. The Snakes also added some significant power to the order in trading for Mark Trumbo from the Angles. Otherwise, the rotation is average. The bullpen is average. Their closer is average, perhaps a notch below average. Expect the result for the D-Backs to be average.


San Francisco Giants – Picking up starting pitcher Tim Hudson was a step forward for a team that struggled with previously accomplished but underachieving pitchers last year. Still, the Giants did little else to turn their play around on the mound. This is a team whose pitchers struggled in a pitcher’s park to defend their 2012 World Series title.

They need run support to compete. Picking up left fielder Michael Morse was a plus for the power in the batting order. Still, the roster remained otherwise largely unchanged in terms of hitting talent. They aren’t built to drive in runs in bunches.

Colorado Rockies – Their hitters are all studs, but that advantage is hedged off somewhat by playing in the thin air at Coors Field, where every hitter can get a little better. They brought in a lot of new pitchers and they are all lousy as a group. That disadvantage is heightened by playing in the thin air at Coors Field, where every pitcher has the scales tipped against them when facing power hitters. Their pitcher is 41-year-old LaTroy Hawkins, who is in the twilight of a long, competent, but unremarkable career.

It’s going to be a long, hot summer in the Mile High City.

San Diego Padres – Their pitchers are okay but their lineup looks like they may as well come to the plate with rubber hoses. If this were the NFL, I would say that this team could be on the clock.


There's more of Puig coming in 2014. 3

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1) Image from www.washingtonpost.com
2) Image from www.zimbio.com

Tuesday, October 8, 2013

Retweet of the Day - October 8, 2013

The Pittsburgh Pirates had an opportunity, in front of their fans at PNC Park, to advance to the National League Championship Series for the first time since 1992, leading the St. Louis Cardinals two games to one heading into Game 4 of the National League Division Series. Rookie starting pitcher Michael Wacha of the Cardinals pitched seven hitless innings and set the Redbirds up brilliantly to send the series back to St. Louis for a decisive Game 5.

Of course, few road playoff victories come to any team without some drama. Cardinals closing pitcher Trevor Rosenthal, with the Cards winning 2-1, retired the first two Pirates batters in the bottom of the 9th inning. Then he walked Neil Walker, which brought Pirates centerfielder and leading candidate for National League Most Valuable Player Andrew McCutchen (.317, 21 HR, 84 RBI, .917 OPS) up to the plate. This meant that one swing of the bat by the powerful centerfielder could end the game and the series, to the delight of the Pittsburgh fans.

The Twittersphere lit up in anticipation of a possible made-for-Hollywood walk-off series winning dinger. "The crowd would've rushed onto the field if McCutchen had hit a walk off...," "...If McCutchen walked that off the city of Pittsburgh would have been Gotham in TDKR." Oh ONLY if McCutchen could hit a home run! If McCutchen could ride in on his white horse and deliver elation to the long-starving Pirates fans in the spirit of Franco Harris' Immaculate Reception in the 1972 NFL Playoffs! You get the picture.

So many people were anticipating the scene if McCutchen homered that it led to something somewhat unusual on Twitter. Today's retweet, from Ben Weise ‏(@BenAtInternship):

"Lol "If McCutchen" is trending."

If "if" were a fifth, we'd stay drunk all day.
Image from www.twitter.com

Tuesday, July 10, 2012

MLB - Halfway Point - National League

In early June, we looked at where all 16 National League ball clubs stood at the one-quarter point in the season. With the All-Star game tonight, we will follow up on yesterday's American League evaluation and discuss their National League counterparts.

My original comments are in black. The current 2012 record and my one-quarter mark comments are in blue. My halfway mark comments are in green.


NATIONAL LEAGUE

N.L. East

Philadelphia Phillies (37-50, 5th place) – In 2010 and 2011, I said that MLB may as well skip to the World Series and hand the Phillies the National League pennant. Both years, the St. Louis Cardinals and San Francisco Giants reminded me: THAT’S WHY THEY PLAY THE GAMES. The addition of closer Jonathan Papelbon did not encourage me to change my ways. Not having completely learned my lesson, I’ll modify that to say that MLB may as well skip the regular season hand the Phillies the N.L. East division title.

Let me modify my early season remarks to say that Philadelphia had better get its last place butt in gear. That said, they are only 3 games back, so I am sticking with my pre-season expectation that they will win the N.L. East.

The words: Whiskey Tango Foxtrot? The Phillies first half debacle defies all logic and reason. Cliff Lee's (1-5, 3.98 ERA, 98 Ks) inability to bribe his way to a win until last week and the overall ineptitude of the starting rotation as a unit is a big reason. The absolute incompetence of the middle relievers and their inability to keep the ball in the yard is another reason. And the absence of Ryan Howard from the lineup until this past weekend due to injury is a third factor. I will not say, "Stick a fork in them" because this team does have the talent and experience to make a furious second half run. Just don't hold your breath, Phillies Fan.


Washington Nationals (49-34, 1st place) – With some big offseason moves the last two seasons and the return of a healthy Stephen Strasburg the Nationals are the Detroit Lions pre-season pick of Major League Baseball. If they stay healthy, I expect them to be second in the East and to be in the Wild Card race.

Many said the Nationals were a year away from making a serious run for the post season. Not I! Then again, even a broken clock is right twice per day.

The Washington Nationals franchise has played 43 seasons of baseball prior to 2012, dating back to their inception as the Montreal Expos in 1969. In 43 years, this woeful franchise has only made the playoffs once, in 1981. It has only finished the season in first place twice, the 1981 season and in 1994. Unfortunately, there were no playoffs in 1994 due to the players' strike. During their seven seasons (prior to this year) as the Washington Nationals, the Nationals have finished last in five of those seasons (finishing fourth in 2007 and third last year).

Barack Obama deserves no credit, but change is coming to Washington. Their starting rotation of Stephen Strasburg (9-4, 2.82 ERA, 128 Ks), Gio Gonzalez (12-3, 2.92 ERA, 118 Ks), Jordan Zimmerman (5-6, 2.61 ERA), Edwin Jackson (5-4, 3.73 ERA), and Ross Detwiler (4-3, 3.43 ERA) is lock down, lights out, and just plain nasty! Rookie outfielder Bryce Harper (.282, 8 HR, 25 RBI) is the most exciting young player in the National League. Manager Davey Johnson looks like a genius who is ready to party like it's 1986, when he managed the New York Mets to the World Series championship. 

Congress could solve the deficit by loading up on Nationals stock because this team is at the very beginning of a rapid rise to the top of the National League!


Atlanta Braves (46-39, 2nd place) – Top flight pitching and weak hitting equals a lot of regular season wins and no room for error in the playoffs.

Still waiting on that top flight pitching.... Braves Fan should send flowers and fruit baskets to Dan Uggla (.267, 8 HR, 31 RBI) and Martin Prado (.322, 3 HR, 22 RBI) for keeping the team within striking distance.

The Braves pitching really tightened up with a 3.53 ERA in the month of June. The bats also heated up, hitting .264 as a team and with a team on base plus slugging percentage of .728 last month. Jair Jurrgens' (3-2, 4.97 ERA) recent return to the rotation is going to give the Braves a tremendous boost in chasing down the surprising Nationals in the N.L. East.


Miami Marlins – (41-44, 4th place) Ozzie and the Fish are going to experience growing pains. I expect a circus in year one, but not a train wreck.

And...the Ozzie Circus started (almost) with the opening pitch of the season. However, there is a reason GMs put up with Ozzie; he's that good. Miami is off to as good of a start through 40-plus games as they have been in years.

The Fish have gone into a horrific tailspin since June and cannot seem to stop the bleeding. The formula is quite simple. Small ball plus small batting averages times wimpy power hitting divided by good starting pitching minus a bullpen that gives it up more than a punk in prison equals deep doo doo at the All-Star break. 

Bullpens do not get better as the season progresses, they get worse because they get tired from increased wear and tear. The only sliver of light in the Marlins 'pen is that Heath Bell (2-4, 6.75 ERA, 19 SV, 8.5 K/9 IP) appears to have awaken and realized that he is a major league closer. Bell had a 3.86 ERA, no blown saves, and a whopping 12 strikeouts per nine innings pitched last month.


New York Mets – (46-40, 3rd place) There’s the train wreck!

Or perhaps not.... The Mets have been the epitome of "dysfunction" over the previous five seasons. Yet disciplined batting, anchored by a rejuvenated third baseman David Wright (.365, 5 HR, 30 RBI), and a healthy Johan Santana (2-2, 2.75 ERA, 60 Ks) leading the pitching staff, have the Mets looking like a legitimate MLB team!

The feel good story that is the 2012 Mets continues. The big story in Mets camp has been hard throwing knuckleballer R.A. Dicky (12-1, 2.40 ERA, 123 Ks, pitched a one-hitter in June). Using the words "hard throwing" and "knuckleballer" together are a big part of why he is such a big story. Third baseman David Wright (.351, 11 HR, 59 RBI, 1.004 OPS) is making another push for his first, ever batting title. Can the bullpen pick up its weight? That appears to be the only weakness on this team.     

THE "HAAARPER"! 1

N.L. Central

Cincinnati Reds – (46-38, 2nd place) The opposite of the Atlanta Braves. If they can just tighten up their pitching to the tune of 0.30 earned runs per game, I think they win the division. I love the promotion of Aroldis Chapman to the top of the starting rotation. Big risk…big reward? I like the Reds in the Central.

While Chapman (4-0, 0.00 ERA, 44 Ks, 26.0 IP) did not get the promotion I expected, he and the entire Reds' pitching staff have held their own. Joey Votto (.325, 8 HR, 29 RBI, 1.060 OBPS), so far, is earning his keep from his L..O..N..G (near) quarter-billion dollar contract extension.

The Reds fell back into second place not so much because of their failures as much as the Pittsburgh Pirates' red hot surge. The Reds are a team that opponents cannot hit against. They have the best first baseman in the National League in MVP contender Joey Votto (.348, 14 HR, 48 RBI, 1.089 OPS, .994 Fld%). Cincinnati is living by the long ball. That is fine as long as your pitching staff continues to support your habit. But if the Reds have to enter the playoffs as a Wild Card, they could die by the homer. 

St. Louis Cardinals – (46-40, 3rd place) Adding Adam Wainwright minus Albert Pujols equals a net loss. The Redbirds snuck into the playoffs last year. Not happening in 2012….

Carlos Beltran (.294, 15 HR, 42 RBI) happens. Interpret that as you will.

Great hitting plus solid staring pitching minus crappy bullpen equals no successful defense of the World Series title. 


Milwaukee Brewers (40-45, 4th place) – The pitching is still uninspired and now there is no Prince Fielder. BO-RING baseball and a boring season is upon the MLB fans of Wisconsin.

Performing as I expected. It's Ryan Braun (.309, 14 HR, 36 RBI) and eight guys whose names could be replaced with "Lorem Ispum" on the scorecard and nobody would be the wiser. Whatever magic they captured last year appears to be gone.

Very little has changed since the one-quarter mark, so I will say very little about the Brewers. My only commentary is that the bullpen, save for K-Rod (Frankie Rodriguez - 1-4, 3.96 ERA, 17 Hld) conjures up phrases like, "abject failure", "comic-tragic", and "abominable".


Pittsburgh Pirates (48-37, 1st place) – I think the Pirates continue with the improvement they made last year. However, pitching is a massive liability. I think they don’t even sniff either of the NL Wild Card spots.

Did I say "pitching" was a massive liability? I meant "hitting". I whiffed on the means (much like the Pirates have in many of their at-bats this year), but not the ends. Respectable record...not on track to be in the playoff race. James McDonald (4-2, 2.20 ERA, 63 Ks) should be in the early National League Cy Young discussion and Andrew McCutchen (.331, 8 HR, 21 RBI) continues to be a shining star. It won't be enough.

Don't get too excited, Pirates Fan! You guys were near the top of the division at this time last year. I, personally, would love to see the Pirates return to the playoffs for the first time in 20 years. I think it would be good for baseball. The problem is that I think the 2012 Pirates are just an improved version of the 2011 squad. 

Centerfielder Andrew McCutchen (.362, 18 HR, 60 RBI, 1.039 OPS) is a mid-season front runner for the National League MVP award. James McDonald (9-3, 2.37 ERA, 100 Ks) is a legitimate N.L. Cy Young Award candidate. The bullpen is probably one of the top five in the league, arguably top three. 

The vulnerabilities for the Pirates are that they are not getting enough innings from their starting rotation and other than McCutchen, they don't have a single big threat with the stick. In fact, other than Neil Walker (.291, 6 HR, 41 RBI), I wouldn't consider any of their hitters to be "above average".

You can win the National League without good hitting when you have great pitching. However, the Pirates' relievers are not going to have enough gas in the tank late in the season to support the anemic contribution of the starting rotation to the pitching workload. Playing in the same division with the Reds and Cardinals, the Pirates have a very tall order in the second half of the season.


Houston Astros – (33-53, 6th place) MY TEAM! THE ASTROS!!! Gonna be another long year…. Gonna get even better when next year when they move into the same American League division as the two time A.L. champs. If I had an Astros crystal ball, I think I’d break it after looking into it.

The Astros are much improved over last year. They have a legitimate budding star in shortstop Jose Altuve (.309, 3 HR, 18 RBI) and a pitching staff that appears to be developing nicely. Keep an eye on this team. They could be next year's Washington Nationals.

These guys found a way back into the cellar when the Cubs had the cellar secured like a bank vault. The lineup is laced with developing, but very inexperienced hitters who are going to take time before solving National League pitching. What I would find absolutely laughable were I not a fan is that the bullpen has dubbed itself "The Regulators", complete with Warren G intro music at Minute Maid Park when they enter the game. 

REGULATE WHAT? The audience's bowel movements? Because that bullpen is CRAP!


Chicago Cubs – (33-52, 5th place) They were bad last year. Their bats have gotten worse. Their sub standard pitching is about the same. Enjoy the cellar, Cubbies!

Stick a fork in 'em...again. They're done...again

The Cubs Forrest Gumped their way out of the N.L. Central's urinal by accidenting their way to winning nine of their last 13 games. Enjoy the peek of sunlight, Cubs Fan because it won't last long. Back into the cellar you go after the All-Star break.

Jump to the 8:00 mark to see the final post season play in the history of the Pirates' franchise, also one of the greatest single plays in the history of baseball. 2

N.L. West

San Francisco Giants (46-40, 2nd place) – Buster Posey is back. Their pitchers are beastly. Arizona was a fluke last year.

Posey (.294, 6 HR, 27 RBI) looks great. Melky Cabrera (.373, 4 HR, 25 RBI) appears to be having a breakout season, in the 8th year of his career. The pitchers continue to be beastly except for the one person who one would expect to be a beast, Tim Lincecum (2-6, 5.82 ERA, 1.57 WHIP), who has been abysmal. They aren't turning hits into runs and it is weighing them down.

Two things have to change if the Giants want to stop this tit-for-tat with the Los Angeles Dodgers and firmly take over 1st place in the West. 

1) They absolutely must find some kind of power in their lineup. Their brand of small ball is as efficient as a man trying to dig a grave with a tablespoon. 

2) Tim Lincecum (3-10, 6.42 ERA, 102 K) has got to get some control of his pitches. There are 16 year old boys who could be dropped in a hot tub with Megan Fox, wearing nothing but a skimpy white t-shirt, with more control of themselves than Lincecum has had of his pitch location this year.


Los Angeles Dodgers (47-40, 1st place) – Magic Johnson and Don Mattingly – two sports icons of the 80s…both invested in the Dodgers’ fate…both may be looking for a window to jump out of by September. I have read a lot of speculation of how much better they are supposed to be, but I just don’t see it in their lineup. Both men had to leave their sports due to medical ailments that are aggravated by stress. WHY oh WHY did they get hooked up with the Dysfunctional Dodgers?

Donnie Baseball for Manager of the Year...Magic Johnson's group for Executive(s) of the Year, if there is such an award. This team finds a way to keep winning. There is no way I could run down all of the things this team is doing right in one paragraph. This is great for baseball and I couldn't be happier to be wrong.

It appears that the Dodgers have put the brakes on a vicious slump in June, winning four of their first five games in July. In spite of the hard knocks experienced last month, the Dodgers pitching staff is among the best in baseball. Their hitters exercise good plate discipline but have limited power. MVP candidate Matt Kemp (.355, 12 HR, 28 RBI) cannot return from the D.L. (hamstring) soon enough for Dodgers Fan.


Arizona Diamondbacks (42-43, 3rd place) – The irony is that the Snakes have the talent and the schedule to recapture the lighting in a bottle they caught in 2011. I am still a believer the lightning doesn’t strike in the same place twice.

No lightning...no bottle...no striking. In fact...not a lot of strikeouts from the pitching staff. Wade Miley (6-1, 2.41, 32 Ks) has been a pleasant exception to that trend.

The Snakes keep hanging around and hanging around within striking distance. I don't think they have the pitching to make the second half push they need, but much stranger things have happened.


Colorado Rockies – (33-52, 5th place) Decent bats plus suspect pitching plus high altitude equals shootouts which equals a worn out bullpen. That won’t fly in the West for 162 games.

They are pounding my Astros, en route to a four game sweep, as I write this, so perhaps I should temper my criticism. Or not.... 

They can bang out runs, especially at home, and especially when Carlos Gonzalez (.332, 14 HR, 44 RBI) is involved. They can't pitch their way out of a wet paper bag. When 49 year old Jamie Moyer (2-5, 5.70, 36 Ks) is second on your team in strikeouts and innings pitched, you've got problems!

The Rockies have the best starting lineup, one through eight, in the N.L. West (one of the better ones in the National League) and the worst pitching staff of the decade, possibly the worst I have ever seen in my entire life through one half of a season.   


San Diego Padres – (34-53, 4th place) They have an outfielder named Blanks, which is what they can expect to be hung on the scoreboard after many of their halves of innings this year.

Endison Volquez (2-5, 3.46 ERA, 55 Ks) is having his best season in years...on the worst team one may ever witness. He must be missing Cincinnati.

I think the Rockies hitters could come to the plate with wiffle ball bats and out hit the Padres. As for the pitching, perhaps if this were college baseball the Padres could get by with just two legitimate major league starters on their roster - Endison Volquez (5-7, 3.52 ERA, 98 Ks) and Clayton Richard (6-9, 3.91 ERA). They sure are playing like a college team.

Maybe Lincecum needs to borrow a page from Ricky Vaughn from Major League with some eye wear. 3

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1) Image from http://www.natsinsider.com/
2) Video from http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4ysMLk7UH2o
3) Image from http://www.tigerdroppings.com/